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Koefoed: More downside for EURUSD ahead of ECB meeting
Will Mario Draghi reassure investors at Wednesday's ECB meeting as rumours circulate that the ECB could end its QE programme early? Saxo Bank’s Head of Macro Strategy, Mads Koefoed, talks about the importance of the meeting and the potential impact on European stocks.
The ECB has pre-committed to carrying out QE up until September 2016, and only one month into it, investors are already considering the possibility of tapering. This concern is due to the overwhelming early success of the programme, which has pushed multiple European indices to multi-year highs.
Koefoed does not believe that Draghi will announce any plans to decrease its asset purchasing programme but he thinks there's a possibility that the ECB could run out of bonds to purchase. Therefore, Mads suggests that Draghi could expand the list of assets available for purchase.
One of Europe’s largest bond markets, Spain, has proven to be one of the largest beneficiaries from the ECB’s programme. Spain’s IBEX has grown more than most of its European counterparts this year, helping the country to continue putting economic recession behind it. As the QE programme continues, the weaker euro could aid all European exporters. Mads states that EURUSD could continue to pressure the 1.05 area and even reach parity in the long term.
03:12 minutes
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